IS is making an irregular move. According to what people told me about the Ayra incident, they’re basically doing the same thing minus the blunder because they’re revealing the information before any banners release.
M.Byleth will appear on the mythic 8%, but he is not a mythic. That maybe means we get a colourless mythic or no new mythic, which seems less likely to me but also possible because they have already revealed the new unit of the banner and might not even make a video until early August. [I previously said we get a green mythic, and then Kirchou pointed out L.Lyn, which I missed on a misread of my sheet.]
Accordingly, my updated predictions for the coming 8%:
Red: L.Marth (confirmed), M.Byleth (confirmed), T.Elise (almost guaranteed)
Blue: L.Azura (confirmed), Fjorm (confirmed), T.Ryoma (almost guaranteed)
Green: L.Hector (confirmed), L.Lyn (confirmed), probably V.Mist
Colourless: Eir (confirmed), L.Alm (confirmed), new mythic?! (or Caineghis)
In my original predictions this was one of the most killer 8%s in history; now it’s just strong. L.Lyn makes greens a little weaker (admittedly, spd tactic is still 5* exclusive, but I find the other tactics a bit more useful and Seth is 3*-4* available too, and I’m also expecting spd tactic on a free unit any GHB or TT now. Maybe even this 3H GHB unit?) Reds are fairly strong with M.Byleth and T.Elise; colourless has Eir and L.Alm. They’re definitely pulling hard at our orbs in anticipation of CYL3. So there’s a fairly high probability that the new mythic will be powerful.
If we get a new mythic, I say anima mythic for two reasons. The recent addition of rewards exclusively for defense scoring (and if you didn’t see my commentary on it and why it’s nothing but bait to pull for mythics, see The new AR rewards for defense scoring are bad for the game ), and there is demand for a new anima mythic because Naga is making Duma look pretty stupid.
As for the stats on M.Byleth, I’m going to use Fates as precedent. M.Corrin and F.Corrin both have medium-high atk, spd, def, and HP with somewhat lower res. (The Robins also got this treatment.) Adrift Corrins gave M.Corrin a bit more atk in exchange for a bit of spd and res. He also has 1 higher HP and 1 lower def; I’m not sure what to make of the def part but marginally higher HP makes sense to me. It’s just my sense of the way IS attempts to portray the physical aspects of gender, the male being a bit more stocky and muscular (hence, higher atk and HP) whereas the female is a bit lighter (and consequently faster). The res part…arguably is just a matter of being where the leftover BST goes, but I think it’s also maybe an expression of a belief that females are somehow more sensitive and attuned to certain metaphysical things, ergo more fluent in self-protection against attacks of this nature.
Anyways, let’s review.
F.Byleth was shown in the trailer to have 40HP. My initial guesses were 34/39/30/25, before I knew that M.Byleth would have the same prf. Now that we see M.Byleth’s kit, I think that’s going to be closer to his statline. F.Byleth will have more spd, a bit less atk, and…not sure about the defensive stats.
M.Byleth doesn’t come with wrath or any extra atk in his A-slot so I’m suspecting 35 atk. If we count chill spd as a +7 to him then I’m going to guess it puts him around 46, so I’ll stick to 39 spd. He will probably have at least 1HP higher than F.Byleth, so maybe we’re looking at 41HP 35/39/29/24? Or some possibility this pair might even get boosted BST because make the avatar OP so give him about 3 extra points in defenses and 1 in offense. F.Byleth I’m now going to say 45 spd with fury 4, so 41 spd IV, something like 51 atk with weapon and fury 4, so 31-32 atk (possibly even less because she comes with wrath), probably 27+ res? Expecting relatively even defensive spread because they gave her fury 4.
So here are my best guesses:
M.Byleth 41HP, 35/39/29/24
F.Byleth 40HP, 32/41/28/27
On another note, I am now 99% convinced that Ruptured Sky (AKA rend heaven) will be inheritable. In the announcement, there is a list indicating that it is unusable by dragons and beasts.