The tasks don’t take into account how many players each team has, so of course, Instinct will be behind. The task after all demands that they nearly do double the work that Mystic has to do since they have way fewer players. So no amount of whining online from the other teams and posting the same regurgitated memes will change this (I do miss the actually funny memes regarding spark/instinct though, pity that all that seemed to survive since then the banana Simpsons meme. rip creativity I guess).
People also forget that most casual players aren’t that up to date with this and won’t get out of their way to do tasks, which as of now aren’t that rewarding for the most part. Heck, a lot of casual players don’t even know what are the rewards for most tasks.
I have my daily walk through the town and check all tasks. I do those that have good rewards and aren’t too time-consuming/achievable without cluttering the task space. Depending on what each day has to offer I do 20-50 tasks. I know that most people don’t bother with this. Most just search for some specific tasks or just make sure that they do one for the stamp and then ignore what they already completed.
That being said… Considering how marketing with unlocking awards goes I highly doubt that the goal won’t be reached…
And yes, this is hardly a conspiracy, unlike what I’ve seen written by some online, that Niantic wants to force others to switch to Instinct. Sure, that’s ToTaLLy the intent.